That's right: just five states, collectively containing about 2 percent of the American population, have statistically significant pluralities of adults identifying themselves as Republicans. These are the "Mormon Belt" states of Utah, Idaho and Wyoming, plus Nebraska, plus Alaska. By contrast, 35 states are plurality Democratic, and 10 states are too close to call.The guy who runs Five Thirty Eight is the guy who predicted the election almost exactly, certainly much closer than anyone else. He does mention several qualifiers which means this is not a done deal.
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Just Five Red States Left?
The web site Five Thirty Eight claims that polls show only five red state left in America: